Wednesday, January 31, 2007

CSKA - Ulker(4) 1 quarter time @ 1,85 stake 6/10 (21:10) win
CSKA - Ulker(7) 1 half time @ 1,85 stake 7/10 (37:29) win
Aris - Barcelona under144.5 @ 1,85 stake 6/10 (72:72) win

Tuesday, January 30, 2007

European basketball
Hapoel – Venstpils over 161 @ 1,85 stake 8/10 (88:73) lose
Crvena Zvezda – Khimki 1 half time @ 1,85 stake 6/10 (45:36) win
Crvena Zvezda – Khimki over 167 @ 1,85 stake 7/10 (89:77) lose
Hemofarm – Unics Kazan over 158 @ 1,85 stake 7/10 (73:90) win
Snaidero(2,5) – Lietuvos Rytas 1 @ 1,85 stake 5/10 (75:72) win
Gran Canaria – FMP over 152 @ 1,85 stake 7/10 (84:88) win

Monday, January 29, 2007


Pinnacle Sports Posts Updated Odds On Grand Slam Titles Won By Federer

WILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (January 29, 2007)-After cruising to his tenth major singles title at the Australian Open, talk of Roger Federer capturing tennis' elusive Grand Slam is gaining steam. In Australia, the world's top-ranked player showed his dominance by becoming the first man since 1980 to capture a major championship without losing a single set in the tournament. Although the feat hasn't been accomplished since Rod Laver in 1969, leading online sportsbook now lists Roger Federer at just 3/1 to complete the Grand Slam in 2007.

Leading international sports betting site, Pinnacle Sports originally released odds on the number of Grand Slam singles titles won by Roger Federer prior to the start of this year's Australian Open. Now with the first major tournament already under his belt, the bettors at Pinnacle Sports believe Federer has a very good chance to complete the Grand Slam this year. Knowing that the world's top player has never won the French Open, Pinnacle Sports lists the chances that Federer falls just one title short of completing the Grand Slam for the third time in his career as a 3/2 favorite. The odds that Federer will finish the year with just two major championships currently stands at 5/2, while the most unlikely scenario is that Federer will close 2007 with only one Grand Slam title at 11/1 odds.

'Although history would have you believe it's nearly impossible to win the Grand Slam, nothing appears to be out of Roger Federer's reach,' said Simon Noble of Pinnacle Sports . 'While the red clay at Roland-Garros has been his Achilles heel, Federer is no pushover and will likely enter the French as only a slight underdog to two-time reigning champion Rafael Nadal. If he can conquer the French Open, the experts will consider the Grand Slam a virtual lock for Federer who has dominated Wimbledon and the US Open in recent years.'

Current Odds: *All Odds Subject To Change*

How Many Grand Slam Singles Titles Will Roger Federer Win In 2007?

One 11/1
Two 5/2
Three 3/2
Grand Slam 3/1
Kaiserslautern - Karlsruher SC 1 @ 1.85 (AH) 0-0 stake 5/10 (1-1)draw
Atlanta(5.5) - Orlando 1 @ 1.85 stake 3/10 (93-83) win
Memphis - Sacramento over 220.5 @ 1.85 stake 4/10 (124-117) win

Sunday, January 28, 2007

Angelico BI - Air Avelino(6) 1 @ 1,85 stake 5/10 win
Siviglia Wear Teramo - Premiata Montegr.(4.5) 1 @ 1,85 stake 5/10 win
Alemannia Aachen - Bayer Leverkusen over 3,5 @ 2,5 stake 4/10 win
Real Zaragoza - Deportivo 1 @ 1,85 stake 6/10 lose

Saturday, January 27, 2007

Climamio BO - Montepaschi SI(3) 2 @ 1,9 stake 6/10 win
Rennais - Valenciennes US 1 @ 1,85 stake 5/10 win
Westerlo - KSK Beveren 1 @ 1,70 stake 7/10 win
Arbroath - Albion Rovers 1 @ 2,25 stake 5/10 lose
Sint-Truidense - Mons 1 @ 1,9 stake 7/10 win

Friday, January 26, 2007

FC Zwolle - EVV Eindhoven 1 @ 1,75 stake 5/10 win
Telstar - De Graafschap 2 @ 1,9 stake 5/10 lose
FC Omniworld - Venlo 2 @ 2,2 stake 5/10 win

Sabres, Ducks, Sharks & Predators Favored To Hoist Lord Stanley's Cup

WILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (January 25, 2007)-ow that the 2006-07 NHL season has hit the midway point, the leading Stanley Cup contenders have begun to separate themselves from the pack. Following on from hockey's All-Star Game last night, today released updated odds to win the Stanley Cup and the Eastern and Western Conference Championships.

The Internet's largest sports betting site, currently list the Northeast Division leading Buffalo Sabres as the early favorite to win the NHL championship at 5/1 odds. Led by defenseman Scott Neidermayer and Chris Pronger, the Anaheim Ducks have been installed with the second-best odds at 11/2. With reigning Hart Trophy and scoring title winner Joe Thornton having another great season and Vesa Toskala playing terrific in goal, the San Jose Sharks are solid title contenders at 8/1 odds. Although they currently hold a league-best 71 points, Pinnacle Sports lists the Nashville Predators at just 9/1 to capture the Stanley Cup. The Detroit Red Wings and Ottawa Senators are both currently listed at 12/1 despite not leading their own divisions at the All-Star break.

Pinnacle Sports lists Mikka Kirpusoff, Jerome Iginla and the Calgary Flames at 17/1 to become the first Canadian team to win the Stanley Cup since 1993. Martin Brodeur and the Atlantic Division-leading New Jersey Devils also stand at 17/1, while the Southeast leaders Atlanta are 19/1 to win the first title in the franchise's history. lists individual odds on other Canadian teams currently in the playoff hunt winning the Stanley Cup including: Vancouver (21/1), Montreal (22/1), Toronto (75/1) and Edmonton (80/1). Meanwhile, the reigning world champion Carolina Hurricanes are currently 31/1 long shots to repeat this season.

The Buffalo Sabres are also favorites to win the Eastern Conference Championship and advance to the Stanley Cup Finals at 8/5 odds. Ottawa has the second best odds to win the East at 5/1 followed by New Jersey at 7/1 and Atlanta at 8/1. In the Western Conference, Anaheim has been inserted as a slight 3/1 favorite over San Jose (4/1) and Nashville (9/2).

Pinnacle Sports Book offers the most comprehensive wagering options on each game throughout the entire NHL season including: first period wagering on money lines and totals; spreads, money lines and totals for regulation time only; and spreads, money lines and totals on full games including overtime or shootouts. For more information and a complete list of hockey odds, please visit Pinnacle Sports .

Current Odds: All Odds Subject To Change

Odds To Win 2007 Stanley Cup
Buffalo Sabres 5/1
Anaheim Ducks 11/2
San Jose Sharks 8/1
Nashville Predators 9/1
Ottawa Senators 12/1
Detroit Red Wings 12/1
Calgary Flames 17/1
New Jersey Devils 17/1
Atlanta Thrashers 19/1
Vancouver Canucks 21/1
Montreal Canadians 22/1
Dallas Stars 26/1
Pittsburgh Penguins 29/1
Carolina Hurricanes 31/1
Minnesota Wild 41/1
Tampa Bay Lightning 44/1
New York Rangers 52/1
Colorado Avalanche 55/1
Toronto Maple Leafs 75/1
Edmonton Oilers 80/1
Any Other Team 200/1

Odds To Win Eastern Conference Championship
Buffalo Sabres 8/5
Ottawa Senators 5/1
New Jersey Devils 7/1
Atlanta Thrashers 8/1
Montreal Canadians 12/1
Pittsburgh Penguins 17/1
Carolina Hurricanes 18/1
Tampa Bay Lightning 22/1
New York Rangers 26/1
Toronto Maple Leafs 40/1
Any Other Team 75/1

Odds To Win Western Conference Championship
Anaheim Ducks 3/1
San Jose Sharks 4/1
Nashville Predators 9/2
Detroit Red Wings 7/1
Calgary Flames 9/1
Vancouver Canucks 16/1
Dallas Stars 18/1
Minnesota Wild 24/1
Colorado Avalanche 35/1
Edmonton Oilers 50/1
Any Other Team 81/1

Pinnacle Sports is the Internet's largest sports betting site serving customers in more than 100 countries worldwide. Founded in 1998, was the first sports book to introduce reduced margin wagering, using a -105 pricing model that gives bettors up to 50% better value on wagers than traditional bookmakers. With low minimum bet requirements and the highest maximum limits on the Web, Pinnacle Sports has earned an industry leading reputation for providing consistent value to the player, professional customer service and the quickest payouts online. Fully licensed and regulated in Curacao, the company offers a secure environment for sports betting, racing and casino gaming.

Thursday, January 25, 2007

Fenerbahce Ülker - Eldo Napoli under 149,5 @ 1,85 stake 5/10 win
Union Olimpija(9,5) - Maccabi Tel Aviv 1 @ 1,90 stake 8/10 win

Wednesday, January 24, 2007

European basketball
Panathinaikos A. - Partizan(11.5) 2 @ 1,85 stake 9/10 WIN
Dinamo Moscow - Olympiakos(4.5) 1 @ 1.85 stake 5/10 win
TAU Cerámica - Prokom Trefl(7.5) half time 1 @ 1,85 stake 6/10 lose

Tuesday, January 23, 2007


Bookmaker Releases Odds On 79th Annual Academy Awards Minutes After Nominations

WILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (January 23, 2007)- Just minutes after the official Oscar nominations were announced earlier this morning, the odds makers at Pinnacle Sports
began calculating odds for the 79th Annual Academy Awards. With odds on the six major categories finished only minutes after the nominees were announced, Pinnacle Sports
has released the first official betting lines on this year's Oscars.

The largest sports betting site on the Internet, Pinnacle Sports
has created betting options on the six major Oscar categories, including: Best Motion Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor and Best Supporting Actress. The Departed has been pegged as the early favorite to win the Oscar for Best Motion Picture (4/5) and Best Director for Martin Scorsese (1/6). Despite leading the way with eight overall nominations, Dreamgirls is not in the running for Best Picture, but both Eddie Murphy (2/5) and Jennifer Hudson (1/4) are favored to capture the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor and Actress, respectively. Pinnacle Sports lists Forest Whitaker as the favorite to take Best Actor honors for his role in The Last King of Scotland at 1/6 odds. Meanwhile, Helen Mirren is a virtual lock to win Best Actress listed as an overwhelming 1/49 (i.e., win $1 for every $49 bet) favorite to win the award for her role in The Queen.

All eyes will be on Hollywood's finest as the winners are announced during the awards ceremony on Sunday, February 25th, but the hype surrounding the awards begins today with the official nominations. Below are the current odds offered by Pinnacle Sports
with nominees appearing in descending order from favorites to long shots under each category heading.

Current Odds: *All odds are subject to change*

Best Motion Picture:
The Departed 4/5
Babel 3/2
The Queen 12/1
Letters From Iwo Jima 13/1
Little Miss Sunshine 49/1

Best Actor:
Forest Whitaker 1/6
Peter O'Toole 6/1
Leonardo DiCaprio 14/1
Will Smith 24/1
Ryan Gosling 49/1

Best Actress:
Helen Mirren 1/49
Meryl Streep 14/1
Kate Winslet 28/1
Penelope Cruz 28/1
Judi Dench 66/1

Best Supporting Actor:
Eddie Murphy 2/5
Jackie Earle Haley 4/1
Djimon Hounsou 9/1
Mark Wahlberg 19/1
Alan Arkin 13/1

Best Supporting Actress:
Jennifer Hudson 1/4
Rinko Kikuchi 7/1
Cate Blanchett 9/1
Adriana Barraza 12/1
Abigail Breslin 49/1

Best Director:
Martin Scorsese 1/6
Paul Greengrass 9/1
Stephen Frears 13/1
Clint Eastwood 19/1
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu 26/1
Australian Open
Gonzalez F - Nadal R. over 41.5 @ 1.85 stake 5/10 lose
Davydenko N. - Haas T. over 41.5 @ 1.85 stake 4/10 win

Monday, January 22, 2007

Austalian Open
Fish M. - Roddick A. under 41,5 [Total Games] @ 1,85 stake 5/10 win

Sunday, January 21, 2007

Lega 1 , Italy
Armani J. MI - Bipop Carire RE (11) 1 @ 1,85 stake 8/10 lose
Armani J. MI - Bipop Carire RE (5) half time 1 @ 1,85 stake 7/10 win
Tweede Klasse, Belgium
KV Kortrijk - Deinze 1 @ 1.55 stake 5/10 lose
Serie C1 - B ,Italy
Avellino - Ravenna 1 @ 1,7 stake 5/10 lose
Perugia - Gallipoli 1 @ 1,95 stake 5/10 win

Saturday, January 20, 2007

Reading - Sheffield Utd 1 @ 1.95 stake 6/10 win
Partizan - FMP over154 @ 1.85 stake 5/10 win
Rushden & D'monds - Stafford Rangers 1 @ 2.3 stake 5/10 win
Morecambe - Dagenham & Red 1 @ 2.55 stake 3/10 lose
Luton - Barnsley 1 @ 1.95 stake 5/10 lose
East Stirling - Arbroath 2 @ 1.75 stake6/10 postp.
Ticket of the day :
Portsmouth - Charlton 1 @ 1.6
Anderlecht - Sint Truiden 1 @ 1.25
stake 5/10 lose

Friday, January 19, 2007

ice hockey
Slovakia BOSS Extraliga
Skalica - Zilina 1 @ 1,90 stake 6/10 win
Germany DEL
Krefeld Pinguine - ERC Ingolstadt 2 @ 2,10 stake 4/10 win
Netherlands Jupiler league
Agovv - FC Omniworld 1 @ 2,15 stake 8/10 lose
Australian Open
Berdych T. - Tursunov D. over 40,5 @ 1,85 stake 6/10
The Inside Wagering Line from Pinnacle Sports Book
Live-Betting - Focus on the NFL Conference Finals

The NFL season inches closer to its inevitable climax, with this weekend's Conference Championships. On marquee games such as these, players have an additional tool to make money at Pinnacle Sports: live betting. Throughout the playoffs, Pinnacle Sportsbook has been offering live betting, with reduced juice wagering that offers up to 50% better value to the player than other sports books.
Live betting can be very lucrative for two reasons. Firstly, whereas a normal NFL line is the product of twenty different odds makers, live lines are set on-the-fly and are typically the responsibility of one person. As a result, bettors are in a much more advantageous position, testing their wits against the one linesman in the 'hot seat', charged with the responsibility of managing these volatile markets.
Secondly, the public often misunderstands how live betting works, which creates even more opportunities for those more informed bettors. The combination of these two important factors frequently presents profitable opportunities in live online betting at Pinnacle Sports .
If you want to be a winning player at live betting, you need to adopt a different mid-set to that applied to regular handicapping. That said, as with regular capping you must still decide what you think the fair spread and total for the game should be prior to kick-off, so most of your homework should still be completed well in advance of the game turning live. We usually assume that the closing betting lines at Pinnacle Sports are accurate, but your handicapping could improve on this number.
Second, you need to estimate the probability of a team scoring on each drive. There are two key pieces of information you need to know - a typical football game has about 12 possessions per team and a scoring possession yields an average of 5.4 points in NFL. This means c. 60% of offensive scores are touchdowns in pro football. These two key pieces of information, combined with the game spread and total, allow you to estimate the odds of a team scoring on each possession.
Let's take a look at the AFC Championship game between New England and Indianapolis. At the time of writing, Pinnacle Sports betting lists the Colts as 3-point favorites with a game total of 47.5. The line suggests an outcome of 25-22 in favor of Indianapolis - this score comes as close to tying the spread and total as possible. If you assume the Patriots will score 22 points in 12 possessions, you can expect New England to score about 4.1 times (22 pts / 5.4 pts per possession) or on about 34.0% of their possessions. Similarly, the Colts would be expected to score 4.6 times (25/5.4) or on 38.6% of their possessions.
Once you have completed these initial calculations, you're in a position to calculate a fair line at any live point during the game, by estimating how many possessions remain for each team from there you can set your own reasonably accurate lines. This will allow you to attack any odd spread a book chooses to throw at you during the game.
For example, assume New England is up 20-13 at the start of the 3rd quarter. What would the fair line be at that point? Using the lines above, the Patriots are expected to score about 2.04 times in the second, while Indianapolis has an expectation of 2.32 scores. At 5.4 points per possession, the Colts would be about a 1.5 point favorite (maybe even 2.0 due to winning teams sitting on the ball near the end) for the second half.
While the Colts are a small favorite in the second half, they are still a large underdog (+5 to +5.5) for the game at this point. The public will often bet heavily on the team that is 'supposed' to win, even late in the game. If you saw the Pats -2.5 (-105) for the game offered at the start of the second half, you would recognize this as a value bet against the public.
Regardless of the approach you choose, there are a few adjustments you can make to improve your accuracy. In general, favorites tend to score more points in the first half - which is why the first half lines are typically more than half of the game spread. If a team is up from 8-13 points in the 4th quarter, it tends to score less while running the ball more. Similarly, a team down 9-14 points in the 4th quarter is more likely to score on each possession while their opponent trades time for yardage. If the game is truly a blowout with a team up by 17 points or more, the scoring distribution doesn't change as much. In high profile games such as the Conference Championships, where players are just one game from the Super Bowl itself, a team won't hold back when up by 21 points as they might be expected to do during a regular season game.
At Pinnacle Sports we will be offering live betting on the Conference Championships and the Big One - Super Bowl XLI. Take a look at how the sharps are playing them before the game starts to help you adjust your line.
What are players betting at Pinnacle Sports Book?
New Orleans +2.5 -104 v. Chicago
The Bears originally opened at -3 (-120) at home in the NFC Championship Game. The early bettors pounced on the Saints with larger volume driving the price downward. Following Chicago's narrow overtime win against Seattle last week, the public appears to be on the Saints bandwagon heading into the Championship Game. The line moved all the way down to Chicago -1 before we started receiving Bears action, which has pushed the number back up to 2.5.
New England +3 +110 v. Indianapolis
We originally opened the Colts as 3-point favorites at +104 as we expected bettors would move the line quickly off the 3. Early volume came in on Indy, but was immediately followed by buyback on the Patriots. While the bet count favors New England by a 3-to-2 ratio at this point, there is much more volume on Indianapolis reaching its first Super Bowl with Peyton Manning at the helm. As game day approaches, it won't be shocking to see this game move off the 3 if players continue to back the Colts at home.

Thursday, January 18, 2007

Friendly soccer match
Ecuador - Sweden 1 @ 1,9 stake 5/10 win
Euoropean basketball
Euroleague tips:

Prokom Trefl - RheinEnergie Köln(9,5) 1 @ 1,85 stake 4/10 win
DKV Joventut - Lottomatica RM(7,5) 1 @ 1,85 stake 4/10 lose
Le Mans(6) - Dinamo Moscow 1 @ 1,85 stake 4/10 win
DKV Joventut - Lottomatica RM under152,5 @ 1,85 stake 4/10 lose

Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Euroleague tips:
CSKA - Zalgiris(9) half time 1 @ 1.85 stake 10/10 WIN
Climamio - TAU over164,5 @ 1.85 stake 8/10 win
Pau-Orthez - Eldo Napoli(5.5) 1 @ 1.85 stake 6/10 lose
Unicaja - PAO under150.5 @ 1.85 5/10 win

Tuesday, January 16, 2007

UNICS Kazan - PAOK(10) 1 @ 1,85 stake 5/10 WIN
KK FMP - Snaidero UD over160,5 @ 1,85 stake 5/10 WIN
Eiffel Towers - Crvena Zvezda over163,5 @ 1,85 stake 5/10 WIN
BC Khimki - Lukoil Academic(5) half time 1 @ 1,85 stake 7/10 WIN
BC Khimki - Lukoil Academic(10) 1 @ 1,85 stake 7/10 WIN

Monday, January 15, 2007

NHL tips
Boston Bruins- Buffalo Sabres 2 @ 1,55 stake 3/10 lose
NBA tips
Chicago Bulls - San Antonio Spurs under184 @ 1,92 stake 3/10 lose
Charlotte Bobcats - Milwaukee Bucks under195 @ 1,92 stake 3/10 win
Odds by gamebookers.

Sunday, January 14, 2007

Huelva - Deportivo 1 @ 2.3 stake 4/10 lose
Furuset - Stjernen 2 @ 1.95 stake7/10 win
San Diego-New England over45 @ 1.85 stake 4/10 lose
Tottenham - Newcastle 1 @ 1.8 stake 4/10 lose
Ticket of the day:
AEK Athens - OFI Crete 1 @ 1.25 win
Aves - FC Porto 2 @ 1.45 win
Olympiacos - Panionios 1 @ 1.15 win
stake 5/10

Saturday, January 13, 2007

TAU Cerámica - Real Madrid over158 @ 1,85 stake 5/10 win
IND Colts - BAL Ravens over41,5 @ 1,91 stake 5/10 lose

Friday, January 12, 2007

Boston Celtics(6.0) - Toronto Raptors 2 @ 1,89 stake 5/10 win
Edmonton Oilers - Minnesota Wild 1 @ 1,6 stake 3/10 lose
Pinnacle Australian Open Tennis Championship 2007 Preview

Can Anyone Derail the Federer Express??
The tennis season gets into full swing this Monday with the start of the first major, the Australian Open in Melbourne. All the talk is about whether this year world No.1, Roger Federer, can finally land the Grand Slam. Defeat in the 2006 final at Roland Garros was the only blot on last season's copybook, which featured victory in this event, at SW19 and Flushing Meadows. Given his near-invincibility on fast-court surfaces, and record of two victories in the last three years, it's no surprise that is offering the Federer Express at 1.398 against the field.

On the opposite side of the draw, no.2 seed Rafael Nadal is the one player with a superior head-to-head record against Federer, unfortunately the Spaniard's strength is clay. However, if you feel that there will be a repeat of last year's French and Wimbledon finals, are offering the pair versus the field at 1.274. Any bettors considering that as buying money should be aware that Nadal pulled out his preparation tournament due to a groin injury, continuing his jinx in this event, as he also pulled out in 2006 due to a foot injury.

Looking beyond Nadal, sixth seed Andy Roddick is a realistic challenger, having been revitalised by his new coach, Jimmy Connors. If Roddick is to improve on his 4th round defeat here last year, he would have to overcome a likely 3rd round match with Marat Safin (2005 winner). Victory over the Russian would set Roddick on course for a semi-final clash with his nemesis, Roger Federer. As he has lost all but one of their 13 meetings, including defeat in last year's US Open, any wager on the American going all the way, would be contingent on him taking his game to a new level. In five appearances in this event, Roddick has never gone beyond the semi-finals, which he reached in 2003 & 2005.

Though it is hard to look beyond Federer, the tournament did turn up a surprise last year in Cypriot, Marcos Baghdatis, who made it all the way to the final despite being ranked only 54th in the world. Though he nicked the first set off Federer in the final, the Swiss Master responded in true style to win 3-1, but Baghdatis returns ranked 11th after a break-through year, and who knows how many similar stars-in-the-making are lurking among the 128 strong field.

Henin-Hardenne Withdrawal Pushes Sharapova to Head of the Market
In contrast to the Men's event, the 2007 Women's Australian competition is much harder to call, despite the mysterious late withdrawal of defending champion, and world no.1, Justin Henin-Hardenne for 'unspecified personal reasons'. The Belgian's absence has pushed Maria Sharapova, reigning US Open winner, into favouritism at 3.35 with The Russians' victory over Amelie Mauresmo at Flushing Meadows, ended a run of five semi-final defeats in Grand Slams, and was seen as a milestone victory, proving her 2004 Wimbledon success wasn't a one-off.

Sharapova has lost at the semi-final stage of the last two Australian Opens, and should she again progress that far, Kim Clijsters could stand in her path. Having been blighted by injury, Clijsters returned with a bang to the women's circuit last season, reaching the last four of Wimbledon, French Open and here in Melbourne, where the Belgian has an excellent record. In her four previous appearances, Clijsters has made three semi's and a final. Should she continue to regain the form that saw her rise to World No.1 in 2003 and brought her the 2005 US Open title, she could be an excellent bet at 5.550 with , particularly in the absence of Henin-Hardenne, who prevented her from reaching the final of two Grand Slams last season.

The other obvious name to mention as a credible title contender is the tall French left-hander, Amelie Mauresmo, the reigning Australian and Wimbledon champion. Those two Grand Slam victories marked a break-through season for Mauresmo, who had previously been branded a 'choker' after failing to deliver at crucial stages of big games. With her new-found confidence, the no.2 seed is a danger to all, and arguably has the easier side of the draw, avoiding Sharapova until the final, should they both progress. Mauresmo can be backed at 5.520 with , but it should be noted that her victory in the event last year was slightly fortuitous, benefiting from retirements in both the semi-final and final.

Over the last two seasons the women's game has been dominated by established players, with all Grand Slam wins coming from top ranked players. There are plenty of emerging talents in the game, one of whom may burst through in Melbourne, or a former power-house may re-emerge. Serena Williams, winner in 2003 and 2005, is available at 19.59 with or Martina Hingis champion for three years running from 1997-99 who can be backed 18.77. If either rediscover their appetite for the game, and have regained the necessary conditioning, they could be dark horses. offers up to 60% better odds on all major Tennis tournaments with fixed odds betting at exchange like pricing - commission-free. With high guaranteed liquidity and super-fast payouts, find a smarter way to bet at
Ticket #1
Emmen - EVV Eindhoven 1 @ 1,55 win
Den Bosch - Agovv 1 @ 1,45 win
stake 4/10
Ticket #2
Dordrecht - TOP Oss 1 @ 1,55 win
West Bromwich - Luton 1 @ 1,53 win
stake 4/10
RBC Roosendaal - De Graafschap 1 @ 1,9 stake 4/10 lose
Helmond Sport - Venlo 2 @ 1,9 stake 5/10 lose
Odds by

Thursday, January 11, 2007

Olympiacos - Le Mans(7,5) 1 half time @ 1,75 stake 7/10 lose
Olympiacos - Le Mans(14,5) 1 @ 1,90 stake 7/10 lose
Cibona - Partizan(5.5) 1 @ 1,85 stake 6/10 win
DKV Joventut - Maccabi over164 @ 1,85 stake 6/10 win
Lottomatica - Panathinaikos under150,5 @ 1,90 stake 5/10 win

Wednesday, January 10, 2007

Efes(2.5) - TAU Cerámica 1 @ 1.85 stake 4/10 lose
Efes - TAU Cerámica over154 @ 1.85 stake 6/10 win
Union Olimpija - Unicaja under 153 @ 1.85 stake 6/10 win
Keln - Climamio over161 @ 1.85 stake 4/10 win
Benetton - CSKA under146.5 @ 1.85 stake 4/10 win

Tuesday, January 09, 2007

Uleb Cup
Real Madrid - UNICS(3.5)half time 1 @ 1.85 stake 8/10 win
Real Madrid - UNICS(7) 1 @ 1.85 stake 7/10 win
Strasbourg - FMP(4.5) 2 @ 1.85 stake 6/10 win
Snaidero - Ventspils(4.5) 1 @ 1.85 stake 5/10 lose
England - Carling Cup
Liverpool - Arsenal 1 @ 1.95 stake 4/10 lose

Monday, January 08, 2007

Chicago Bulls - Houston Rockets(6.5) 1 @ 1.88 stake 1/10 lose

Ana Ivanovic 01-01-2007

Sunday, January 07, 2007

Benetton – Climamio(3,5) 1 half time @ 1,85 stake 8/10 lose
Benetton – Climamio(5) 1 @ 1,85 stake 7/10 lose
Avellino – Cantu(4,5) 1 @ 1,85 stake 6/10 lose
Philadelphia – New York Giants(6,5) 1 @ 1,85 stake 6/10 lose
The Inside Wagering Line from Pinnacle Sports Book by Simon Noble

Measuring the Accuracy of Pinnacle's Sharp Plays

Since the first issue of the Pinnacle Pulse, we've focused a lot of attention on the methods and selections of 'sharp' players. Each week we highlight the markets where they are most active. At Pinnacle Sportsbook we consider a 'sharp player' to be a client that is consistently on the right side of a game, gets the best of the number and consequently wins over the long-term.
Therefore it is reasonable for bettors to ask how accurate these 'sharp plays' have been, but before going back and checking, bear in mind two bits of advice we have repeatedly stressed: 1) always play at the best price and 2) pass on a game if sharps have conflicting opinions at the same price. With these two rules in mind, you would have gone a whopping 47-31-2 following sharp plays since we began listing them last year.
Handicapping sports is a search for the truth. That truth is the chance of a given team winning on a given day. Professional players typically set their own line before looking at the market prices, and know what edge they expect at any given price. They view investing in a game as a simple commodity - they will buy either team if the price is right. In many instances, bettors will play both sides of the same game due to line moves or new information.
Many handicappers set their original line, and use an ROR (return on risk) hurdle to determine plays. For example, if a model predicts that Team A will beat Team B 75% of the time in a match-up, that player might look for a bet priced for Team A to win just 70% of the time, or Team B to win 20% of the time. Once that piece of truth is found - Team A's win percentage for that match-up - the sharp player bets it only if 'the price is right'. This might be by playing Team A at -233 on the moneyline, or making an 'equivalent' play identified with conversions, such as Team A -5.5. That same player would just as happily play Team B at +400 or +8 points.
In most games the market price will be close enough to the handicapper's fair price to suggest that the game is a 'pass'. Due to the commission a bettor must pay on each wager (traditionally 10% at most sports books), there's a dead zone where neither side can be played profitably. For example, a sportsbook might offer both sides of an NFL game at Pick'em -110. In that instance, no play could be profitably made unless a team was expected to win more than (110/210) = 52.4%. With traditional 20 cent lines, there is a fairly wide dead zone at most other bookmakers.
There are two obvious ways to reduce the impact of the dead zone. The simplest is to open an account with a reduced-juice sportsbook like Pinnacle Sports Betting. With Pinnacle's -104 style pricing on NFL sides, the dead zone is much smaller and a team expected to win just 51% could be profitable. Pinnacle Sports' reduced juice not only provides more favorable prices, with 8 cent lines on NFL sides, but gives bettors more possible plays as well.
The second way to reduce the dead zone further is to use multiple sportsbooks and shop lines. If you have an array of five plus sportsbooks, which includes a reduced juice sports book like Pinnacle Sports, you can frequently reduce the dead zone further - in some instances eliminating it entirely (e.g. if you can play either side at +100). When professional players count their profits in terms of 2-4% of their total betting volume, shopping to get the best number will frequently make the difference between a winning or losing season.
Modern Caveman recently contacted AskTheBook and asked:
Should a bettor really be taking advice from a bookie? In chess, I used to say 'never listen to your opponent.'
My advice would be, 'Trust, but verify'. In sports betting, like stock investing, you should never put money at risk on the strength of anything ANYONE says until you've researched the subject to the best of your abilities. This is especially true if your source has a vested interest.
The aim of The Pinnacle Pulse is to help educate players about the benefits of low juice by providing accurate information that helps improve the handicapping skills of prospective and existing Pinnacle Sports players. This is thanks in no small part to contributors such as Daringly and the Pinnacle Sports oddsmakers and line managers. It is our belief that if we can improve the sophistication of players and raise the awareness of Pinnacle Sports, more bettors will chose Pinnacle and benefit from our pricing that offers up to 60% better value on NFL sides than other bookmakers.

What are our players betting?
Dallas +3 -112 v. Seattle
Both teams finished the regular seasons below expectations - Seattle as reigning NFC champion and Dallas as an early Super Bowl favorite. Both lost three out of their final four games, landing Seattle and Dallas the #4 and #5 seeds, respectively.
The Cowboys opened at +3 (-114). The public leaned on Seattle by a ratio of 3-to-2, due at least in part to Dallas's recent humiliation at the hands of the hapless Lions. Meanwhile, the sharps clearly favor Dallas and have been taking the points.
New York Giants +7 -103 v. Philadelphia
The Eagles have finished the season playing inspired football winning their last five games. Jeff Garcia led the Eagles offense after stepping in for injured Donovan McNabb, throwing 10 TDs to just 2 INTs. His 95.8 passer rating would make him the #4 QB in the league. The Giants started at 6-2, but then dropped six of their last eight games to limp into the playoffs.
When you have two teams moving in opposing directions, statistical handicappers will often disagree on a game. One approach is to weight all games of the season evenly. Another approach is to weight recent games more heavily than ones earlier in the season. Each of these styles will strongly favor opposite teams in this match-up.
In our most heavily traded game of the week, we opened the Giants at +6 (-106). The line crept up as bettors took the Eagles by a 3-to-2 ratio. Our professional players are split on this match-up, possibly due to their statistical methodology. We are also seeing one-sided sharp action teasing the Eagles down.
Florida +7 -105 v. Ohio State
Florida will try to maintain a trend seen in the last four National Championships: the underdog winning outright. Another trend that has extended even further is based on defense. In National Championship games, the team whose defense allows fewer yards per game has won the last five. In this match-up, this also favors Florida, which allows 269 yards per game versus 273 yards per game for Ohio State.
We opened the Buckeyes at -7 (-105) and the public has favored Ohio State, backing them over Florida by a margin of 3-to-2. Our sharps have been split fairly evenly on this game, though we have seen some unusual point-buying activity with some of our more successful players buying Florida up to +7.5.

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Saturday, January 06, 2007

Real Madrid - DKV Joventut(4.5) 1 @ 1.85 stake 5/10 lose
Siviglia Wear Teramo - Bipop Carire(5) 1 @ 1.85 stake 5/10 win
Olympia - Partizan over151 @ 1.85 stake 4/10 win

Friday, January 05, 2007

Phoenix – Miami(5) 1 half time @ 1.85 stake 10/10 win

Thursday, January 04, 2007

Climamio – Dinamo over 154 @ 1.85 stake 3/10 win
Climamio – Dinamo 2 @ 1.90 stake 3/10 win
Prokom – Olympia over 157 stake 3/10 lose
Sweden Ice Hockey
Frolunda – Farjestads 1 @ 2.2 stake 3/10 lose

Wednesday, January 03, 2007

Ülker - Benetton under 152.5 @ 1.85 stake 8/10 WIN
Barcelona - Zalgiris Kaunas(7.5) 1 half time @ 1.85 stake 8/10 WIN
TAU Cerámica - Köln(9.5) 1 half time @ 1.85 stake 10/10 WIN

Tuesday, January 02, 2007

DET Red Wings - ANA Mighty Ducks 1 @ 1.57 stake 5/10 win
CAL Flames - VAN Canucks 1 @ 1.50 stake 5/10 lose
EDM Oilers - FLO Panthers 1 @ 1.65 stake 4/10 win
Orlando - LA Clippers(4.5) 2 @ 1.85 stake 5/10 lose
Sacramento - New York(8) 1 @ 1.85 stake 4/10 win

Monday, January 01, 2007

England Conference
Rushden & D'monds - Tamworth 1 @ 1.83 stake 7/10 lose
Halifax - Altrincham 1 @ 1.75 stake 5/10 lose
Morecambe - York 1 @ 2.00 stake 5/10 lose
Northwich - Southport 1 @ 1.90 stake 5/10 win
Stevenage - Aldershot Town 1 @ 1.90 stake 5/10 win
Woking - St Albans City 1 @ 1.80 stake 5/10 lose
England Premiership
Reading - West Ham 1 @ 2.05 stake 5/10 win
POR Trailblazers - BOS Celtics(6.5) 1 @ 1.87 stake 6/10 lose
Location: Serbia

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